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BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR FRIDAY - 6/16/2017

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  • BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR FRIDAY - 6/16/2017

    This chart is in Expert Order which is the combined wisdom of several top professional handicappers. This gives us a great basis of comparison to the Morning Line, which is one person, usually the Track racing office. While most major tracks create a very good line, it is subject to the opinions and bias of one person rather that the collective wisdom of several crack pro's.

    I am giving you the entire field allowing you to follow the betting on all horses and see where the ML and the Expert's disagree. This is your advantage, your edge, having an objective way to evaluate the ML. You can see what is influencing the Public betting. Depending on the wagering platform you use, you can sort the field in Betting Odds Order so you can see which order is preferred by the betting public.

    The advantage in putting the chart in Expert Order is that it shows you horses that the Expert's like that receive little ML Support and horses the ML likes who are being ignored by the Expert's. It is important that you focus on the Top 3 Expert picks as well as the Morning Line top 3 choices as this is where most winners are found. Value Races are those races where the Top 3 Expert choices are not the same as the Top 3 Morning Line Picks.

    For those who are Exotic players (Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta) and Multi-Race players (DD, Pk-3, 4, 5, 6), the Pro picks are critical to achieving big payouts because the Experts combine longshots with ML favorites. Boxing Pro picks will get you bigger payoffs especially if the top favorites don't win. Keying on 1 or 2 horses on Top with the other contenders underneath will make bets more affordable. If you have a firm opinion, using ALL underneath in one position can help you cash a monster ticket if a big longshot crashes the board. If you are playing Multi-Race bets you should pay close attention to the top 3 horses if you want to cash larger tickets. Don't disregard highly thought of Expert choices just because the Morning Line dismisses them.

    Examine the chart first before you monitor the actual betting. It will help you understand what is influencing the betting. It is just as important to pay attention to who is not getting bet as well as those taking money. Look for horses that bet below or at their Pro Odds. Give extra credit if they get bet below their ML odds as well, but horses do not need to reach their ML odds to be "Live". Stables are very careful not to tip their hands. "Smart Money" doesn't want to cause a stampede in the betting on their horse.

    Check back 30-60 minutes before the first race for Scratches to be updated. It will move up horses into the top 3 that were placed lower before scratches. I will also update the Pro Picks to remove scratched horses and add new contenders. While every effort is made to avoid mistakes, double check program numbers to make sure they are correct.

    Good Luck!






    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 1
    PRO PICKS: 5-2-1-6-4
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    5 Lady Paradime 8 5/2
    2 Wildcat Belle 9/5 3
    1 Littlemissbusiness 5/2 7/2
    6 Call Her Karma 6 6
    4 Mama Joyce 7/2 8
    3 Ranger Lady 15 8
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 2
    PRO PICKS: 9-5-6-1-11
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    9 First Appeal 3 5/2
    5 Paz the Wine 5/2 7/2
    6 Majestic Tango 10 6
    1 Galway Girl 30 6
    14 Wanna Be Regal 7/2 8 SCRATCHED
    11 Frost Delay 12 8
    10 Gare de Lyon 15 10
    12 Meteoric Matron 15 10
    4 My Jelly Bean 20 10
    8 Grassarla 5 20
    2 Smart Throb 8 20
    7 J C My Way 12 20
    13 Sharp Lacey 15 20 SCRATCHED
    3 Tweet Street 50 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 3
    PRO PICKS: 1-7-4-6-3
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    1 Splashy Rise 7/2 8/5
    7 This Bird Can Sing 2 2
    2 Tapceptional 4 6 SCRATCHED
    4 Here to the Left 10 8
    8 Fashiononthesurge 6 10 SCRATCHED
    6 Posse's Paradise 12 10
    3 Impazible Woman 8 20
    5 Starship Rockette 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 4
    PRO PICKS: 7-8-5-3-4
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    7 Startwithsilver 5/2 2
    8 Wilburnmoney 10 3
    5 Eloweasel 12 4
    3 Weather Girl 4 6
    4 Aussie Prayer 7/2 8
    6 Little Bear Cat 8 8
    1 Lakeside Sunset @ 6 20
    1A Overnegotiate @ 6 20
    2 Andesine 10 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 5
    PRO PICKS: 7-3-2-5-8
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    7 Spirit Lets Hearit 5 8/5
    3 Preziosa 2 3
    2 Splash of Sass 10 5
    5 Party Mint Star 5/2 6
    8 Thirtydaysinjune 10 6
    6 Fly Ash 6 20
    4 Only One Wish 20 20
    1 Ditch Em 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 6
    PRO PICKS: 9-6-7-2-3
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    9 Mentality 10 4
    6 Kitty Kat Kate 4 5
    10 Radiant Beauty 5/2 6 SCRATCHED
    7 Cuccidati 3 6
    2 Escapade 7/2 6
    3 Soldat House 15 6
    4 Tarawa 15 6
    8 Amazing Belle 5 8
    11 Puttinyouonthenews 8 20
    5 Oldfashioned Style 12 20 SCRATCHED
    1 Queen Courage @ 30 20 SCRATCHED
    1A Iron Queen @ 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 7
    PRO PICKS: 1A-2-12-3-4
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    1A Carbon Data @ 2 5/2
    1 Portando @
    2 Steamboat Bill 10 4
    12 Vilma 3 5
    3 Mollica 15 6
    4 Phat Man 5/2 8
    9 Unexplained 6 8
    11 Prize Fight 8 8
    10 Shamcat 3 10
    7 Driven West 7/2 10 SCRATCHED
    6 Taste for Talent 4 20
    13 Shadow Rider 5 20 SCRATCHED
    14 Cournoyer 8 20 SCRATCHED
    8 Bunyaan 10 20 SCRATCHED
    5 Third Son 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 8
    PRO PICKS: 4-6-1-10-2
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    4 Achnaha 7/2 3
    6 Chicadoro 6 7/2
    9 Josephine's Moment 8/5 4 SCRATCHED
    1 Queen Blossom 5 4
    10 Taralena 3 6
    2 Not Taken 6 6
    8 Inchargeofme 8 8
    3 Feeling Bossy 8 10
    7 Indygita 8 20
    5 Good Roll 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 9
    PRO PICKS: 3-11-4-5-7
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 Hope's Roar 3 7/2
    11 Alyssa and a Lisa 4 7/2
    14 Song for the Soul 2 6 SCRATCHED
    4 Hannah's Smile 15 6
    5 Little Chiseler 20 6
    7 Tres Charmant 6 8
    2 Zeni 10 8
    10 Sneaky Fudge Face 20 8
    1 Ragazza Di Papa 5 10
    12 Zenna 8 20
    13 Youth Gone Wild 10 20
    6 Jacqueline D 12 20
    8 Wild With Style 30 20 SCRATCHED
    9 You Promise 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    Last edited by smartmoneyhorses; 06-16-2017, 04:35 PM. Reason: SCRATCHES UPDATED
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