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BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR SATURDAY - 6/10/2017 - RACES 8-13

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  • BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR SATURDAY - 6/10/2017 - RACES 8-13

    This chart is in Expert Order which is the combined wisdom of several top professional handicappers. This gives us a great basis of comparison to the Morning Line, which is one person, usually the Track racing office. While most major tracks create a very good line, it is subject to the opinions and bias of one person rather that the collective wisdom of several crack pro's.

    I am giving you the entire field allowing you to follow the betting on all horses and see where the ML and the Expert's disagree. This is your advantage, your edge, having an objective way to evaluate the ML. You can see what is influencing the Public betting. Depending on the wagering platform you use, you can sort the field in Betting Odds Order so you can see which order is preferred by the betting public.

    The advantage in putting the chart in Expert Order is that it shows you horses that the Expert's like that receive little ML Support and horses the ML likes who are being ignored by the Expert's. It is important that you focus on the Top 3 Expert picks as well as the Morning Line top 3 choices as this is where most winners are found. Value Races are those races where the Top 3 Expert choices are not the same as the Top 3 Morning Line Picks.

    For those who are Exotic players (Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta) and Multi-Race players (DD, Pk-3, 4, 5, 6), the Pro picks are critical to achieving big payouts because the Experts combine longshots with ML favorites. Boxing Pro picks will get you bigger payoffs especially if the top favorites don't win. Keying on 1 or 2 horses on Top with the other contenders underneath will make bets more affordable. If you have a firm opinion, using ALL underneath in one position can help you cash a monster ticket if a big longshot crashes the board. If you are playing Multi-Race bets you should pay close attention to the top 3 horses if you want to cash larger tickets. Don't disregard highly thought of Expert choices just because the Morning Line dismisses them.

    Examine the chart first before you monitor the actual betting. It will help you understand what is influencing the betting. It is just as important to pay attention to who is not getting bet as well as those taking money. Look for horses that bet below or at their Pro Odds. Give extra credit if they get bet below their ML odds as well, but horses do not need to reach their ML odds to be "Live". Stables are very careful not to tip their hands. "Smart Money" doesn't want to cause a stampede in the betting on their horse.

    Check back 30-60 minutes before the first race for Scratches to be updated. It will move up horses into the top 3 that were placed lower before scratches. I will also update the Pro Picks to remove scratched horses and add new contenders. While every effort is made to avoid mistakes, double check program numbers to make sure they are correct.

    Good Luck!






    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 8 - JUST A GAME (G1) $700,000
    PRO PICKS: 2-5-1-6-7
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    2 Roca Rojo 9/5 5/2
    5 Celestine 3 3
    1 Dickinson 5/2 7/2
    6 Sassy Little Lila 8 5
    7 Antonoe 8 8
    4 Harmonize 12 20
    3 Prize Exhibit 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 9 - MET MILE (G1) $1,200,000
    PRO PICKS: 9-2-5-3-1
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    9 Mor Spirit 5/2 2
    2 Rally Cry 5 7/2
    5 Sharp Azteca 7/2 4
    3 Denman's Call 15 4
    1 Inside Straight 15 8
    12 Awesome Slew 6 10
    11 Tommy Macho 10 20
    4 Solid Wager 15 20
    7 Economic Model 15 20
    8 Tom's Ready 15 20
    6 Mohaymen 20 20
    10 Virtual Machine 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 10 - MANHATTAN (G1) $1,000,000
    PRO PICKS: 3-1-9-7-6
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 World Approval 3 5/2
    1 Beach Patrol 4 3
    9 Sadler's Joy 6 3
    7 Divisidero 4 6
    6 Potemkin 8 8
    4 Time Test 5 20
    2 Wake Forest 8 20
    5 Ascend 20 20
    8 Applicator 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 11 - BELMONT STAKES (G1) $1,500,000
    PRO PICKS: 7-4-10-11-9
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    7 Irish War Cry 7/2 3
    4 J Boys Echo 15 3
    10 Multiplier 15 5
    11 Epicharis 4 6 SCRATCHED
    9 Meantime 15 6
    6 Lookin At Lee 5 8
    3 Gormley 8 8
    2 Tapwrit 6 20
    8 Senior Investment 12 20
    12 Patch 12 20
    1 Twisted Tom 20 20
    5 Hollywood Handsome 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 12
    PRO PICKS: 1-11-3-6-2
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    1 Ray's The Bar @ 7/2 5/2
    1A Shalako @
    12 Bellamy Way 5/2 4 SCRATCHED
    8 Tizzarunner 15 4 SCRATCHED
    11 Hello Don Julio 6 5
    3 Revved Up 4 6
    13 Southside Warrior 7/2 10 SCRATCHED
    6 Azar 8 10
    2 Mutazen (b) 5 20
    2B Arghad (b) 5 20
    7 Conquest Sandman 10 20
    10 Arcature 12 20
    4 Wayward Kitten 15 20
    5 Manitoulin 15 20
    9 Hockey School 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 13
    PRO PICKS: 10-8-3-9-2
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    10 Realm 3 3
    8 Doctor Mounty 15 3
    3 Story to Tell 4 7/2
    9 No Hiding Place 6 6
    2 Pulling G's 5 8
    4 Mighty Moses 20 8
    5 River Echo 8 10
    11 Deep Sea 12 10
    6 Do Share 6 20
    1A Top Fortitude @ 15 20 SCRATCHED
    1 Ostolenka @
    7 Seeking the Soul 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    Last edited by smartmoneyhorses; 06-10-2017, 02:23 PM. Reason: SCRATCHES UPDATED

  • #2
    Repost Saturday Belmont Park Experts 8-13

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