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BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR SATURDAY - 6/10/2017 - RACES 1-7

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  • BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR SATURDAY - 6/10/2017 - RACES 1-7

    This chart is in Expert Order which is the combined wisdom of several top professional handicappers. This gives us a great basis of comparison to the Morning Line, which is one person, usually the Track racing office. While most major tracks create a very good line, it is subject to the opinions and bias of one person rather that the collective wisdom of several crack pro's.

    I am giving you the entire field allowing you to follow the betting on all horses and see where the ML and the Expert's disagree. This is your advantage, your edge, having an objective way to evaluate the ML. You can see what is influencing the Public betting. Depending on the wagering platform you use, you can sort the field in Betting Odds Order so you can see which order is preferred by the betting public.

    The advantage in putting the chart in Expert Order is that it shows you horses that the Expert's like that receive little ML Support and horses the ML likes who are being ignored by the Expert's. It is important that you focus on the Top 3 Expert picks as well as the Morning Line top 3 choices as this is where most winners are found. Value Races are those races where the Top 3 Expert choices are not the same as the Top 3 Morning Line Picks.

    For those who are Exotic players (Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta) and Multi-Race players (DD, Pk-3, 4, 5, 6), the Pro picks are critical to achieving big payouts because the Experts combine longshots with ML favorites. Boxing Pro picks will get you bigger payoffs especially if the top favorites don't win. Keying on 1 or 2 horses on Top with the other contenders underneath will make bets more affordable. If you have a firm opinion, using ALL underneath in one position can help you cash a monster ticket if a big longshot crashes the board. If you are playing Multi-Race bets you should pay close attention to the top 3 horses if you want to cash larger tickets. Don't disregard highly thought of Expert choices just because the Morning Line dismisses them.

    Examine the chart first before you monitor the actual betting. It will help you understand what is influencing the betting. It is just as important to pay attention to who is not getting bet as well as those taking money. Look for horses that bet below or at their Pro Odds. Give extra credit if they get bet below their ML odds as well, but horses do not need to reach their ML odds to be "Live". Stables are very careful not to tip their hands. "Smart Money" doesn't want to cause a stampede in the betting on their horse.

    Check back 30-60 minutes before the first race for Scratches to be updated. It will move up horses into the top 3 that were placed lower before scratches. I will also update the Pro Picks to remove scratched horses and add new contenders. While every effort is made to avoid mistakes, double check program numbers to make sure they are correct.

    Good Luck!






    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 1
    PRO PICKS: 4-6-7-8-1
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    4 Battle Midway 8 3
    6 Wild About Deb 12 7/2
    7 Thebigfundamental 5/2 4
    8 Exulting 15 4
    1 Vincento 7/2 6
    3 Nigel's Destiny 4 8
    2 Hammerin Aamer 6 20
    9 Lenstar 10 20
    5 Tathqeef 12 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 2 - EASY GOER STAKES $150,000
    PRO PICKS: 7-9-8-1-4
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    7 West Coast 5/2 2
    9 Outplay 3 5/2
    8 You're to Blame 4 5
    1 Sonic Mule 10 8
    4 Jamminwithbrandon 30 8
    5 Local Hero 5 20
    3 Wicked Macho 8 20
    6 Tale of Silence 15 20
    2 Lookin At Blessing 20 20
    10 Perro Rojo 30 20 SCRATCHED
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 3 - BROOKLYN (G2) $400,000
    PRO PICKS: 5-7-1-3-6
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    4 Send It In 7/5 3/2 SCRATCHED
    5 Tu Brutus 2 9/5
    7 War Story 6 8
    1 Governor Malibu 8 8
    3 Sunny Ridge 10 10
    2 Idolo Porteno 20 10 SCRATCHED
    6 Doyouknowsomething 15 20
    8 Behesht 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 4 - ACORN (G1) $700,000
    PRO PICKS: 3-7-1-2-8
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 Abel Tasman 2 5/2
    7 Sweet Loretta 5/2 7/2
    1 Union Strike 8 6
    6 Tequilita 12 6 SCRATCHED
    2 Florida Fabulous 15 6
    8 Salty 4 8
    5 Benner Island 6 10
    4 Nikki My Darling 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 5 - OGDEN PHIPPS (G1) $750,000
    PRO PICKS: 5-6-7-2-4
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    5 Songbird 1/2 7/5
    6 Bar of Gold 12 3
    7 Carina Mia 6 4
    2 Paid Up Subscriber 8 8
    4 Verve's Tale 20 8
    1 Highway Star 10 20
    3 Factory of Faith 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 6 - JAIPUR (G3) $300,000
    PRO PICKS: 3-10-9-2-4
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 Pure Sensation 3 3
    10 Stormy Liberal 5 7/2
    9 Conquest Enforcer 15 7/2
    2 Disco Partner 6 4
    4 Green Mask 7/2 8
    7 Hogy 8 10
    5 Holding Gold 10 10
    1 Loose On the Town 8 20
    6 Undrafted 12 20
    8 Canadian Flyer 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 7 - WOODY STEPHENS (G2) $500,000
    PRO PICKS: 8-3-7-10-6
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    8 American Anthem 5/2 2
    3 Recruiting Ready 6 7/2
    7 Wild Shot 4 6
    10 Long Haul Bay 5 6
    6 Hard Scramble 20 6
    11 Petrov 8 8
    2 Classic Rock 10 20
    1 Giuseppe the Great 12 20
    4 Gold for the King 15 20
    5 Blessed Halo 20 20
    9 The Money Monster 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    Last edited by smartmoneyhorses; 06-10-2017, 02:21 PM. Reason: SCRATCHES UPDATED

  • #2
    Repost Saturday Belmont Park Experts Races 1-7

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    • #3
      Repost Saturday Belmont Park Experts 1-7

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