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BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR THURSDAY - 6/8/2017

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  • BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR THURSDAY - 6/8/2017

    This chart is in Expert Order which is the combined wisdom of several top professional handicappers. This gives us a great basis of comparison to the Morning Line, which is one person, usually the Track racing office. While most major tracks create a very good line, it is subject to the opinions and bias of one person rather that the collective wisdom of several crack pro's.

    I am giving you the entire field allowing you to follow the betting on all horses and see where the ML and the Expert's disagree. This is your advantage, your edge, having an objective way to evaluate the ML. You can see what is influencing the Public betting. Depending on the wagering platform you use, you can sort the field in Betting Odds Order so you can see which order is preferred by the betting public.

    The advantage in putting the chart in Expert Order is that it shows you horses that the Expert's like that receive little ML Support and horses the ML likes who are being ignored by the Expert's. It is important that you focus on the Top 3 Expert picks as well as the Morning Line top 3 choices as this is where most winners are found. Value Races are those races where the Top 3 Expert choices are not the same as the Top 3 Morning Line Picks.

    For those who are Exotic players (Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta) and Multi-Race players (DD, Pk-3, 4, 5, 6), the Pro picks are critical to achieving big payouts because the Experts combine longshots with ML favorites. Boxing Pro picks will get you bigger payoffs especially if the top favorites don't win. Keying on 1 or 2 horses on Top with the other contenders underneath will make bets more affordable. If you have a firm opinion, using ALL underneath in one position can help you cash a monster ticket if a big longshot crashes the board. If you are playing Multi-Race bets you should pay close attention to the top 3 horses if you want to cash larger tickets. Don't disregard highly thought of Expert choices just because the Morning Line dismisses them.

    Examine the chart first before you monitor the actual betting. It will help you understand what is influencing the betting. It is just as important to pay attention to who is not getting bet as well as those taking money. Look for horses that bet below or at their Pro Odds. Give extra credit if they get bet below their ML odds as well, but horses do not need to reach their ML odds to be "Live". Stables are very careful not to tip their hands. "Smart Money" doesn't want to cause a stampede in the betting on their horse.

    Check back 30-60 minutes before the first race for Scratches to be updated. It will move up horses into the top 3 that were placed lower before scratches. I will also update the Pro Picks to remove scratched horses and add new contenders. While every effort is made to avoid mistakes, double check program numbers to make sure they are correct.

    Good Luck!








    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 1
    PRO PICKS: 3-9-8-7-6
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 Sweet Avery 5 5/2
    9 Privy Council 5/2 3
    8 Schema 10 5
    7 Brilliant Missy 20 6
    6 Transaction Tax 4 8
    5 Fashion Week 6 8
    1 Tapping Colors 6 10
    4 Steidle 8 10
    2 Stormy's Song 15 10
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 2
    PRO PICKS: 4-7-9-6-5
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    4 Giant Expectations 3 8/5
    7 Wicked Macho 5/2 7/2 SCRATCHED
    9 Two Down One to Go 10 4
    6 Build to Suit 7/2 8
    5 Royal Ekati 20 8
    11 Tellmeafookystory 15 10
    8 Dynamax Prime 8 20
    1 Fleet Irish 12 20
    10 Lucky Lou Pal 20 20
    2 Third Son 30 20
    3 Prophet's Cat 30 20 SCRATCHED
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 3 - WONDER AGAIN (G3) $200,000
    PRO PICKS: 2-7-1-5-3
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    2 Dream Dancing 2 9/5
    7 New Money Honey 8/5 3
    1 Coasted 5 4
    5 Corporate Queen 8 6
    3 Enchanting Kitten 10 8
    6 Bonita Bianca 2 10 SCRATCHED
    4 Fifty Five 6 10
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 4
    PRO PICKS: 3-4-13-1-9
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 Bogulator 4 5/2
    4 Kahrumana 3 3
    13 Resonate 10 7/2
    1 Conspiring 8 6
    9 Equalityforall 6 10
    6 Culpa Mia 10 10
    2 Sly Ranger 12 20
    14 Durable Goods 12 20
    7 Apiary 15 20
    10 Shy 15 20
    5 Star Maven 20 20
    8 Relentless Miss 20 20
    11 Soar Once More 20 20
    15 Aoife 20 20 SCRATCHED
    12 Joyful Holiday 30 20
    16 Broad Stripes 30 20 SCRATCHED
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 5 - ASTORIA STAKES $150,000
    PRO PICKS: 3-7-1-2-5
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 Sugar Queen 3 3/2
    7 Best Performance 6 4
    1 One Last Cast 7/2 6
    2 I Still Miss You 4 8
    5 Zodacious 8 8
    8 Di Maria 10 8
    4 Contrarity 15 10
    6 Waki Patriot 5 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 6
    PRO PICKS: 7-14-9-10-6
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    7 Richmond Street 3 9/5
    14 St. Louie 8 7/2
    9 Sunset District 15 4
    10 Flying Bullet 4 6
    6 Birchwood Road 8 6
    1 Keepingitquiet 6 8
    13 Marchant 15 8
    2 Shamsaan 20 10
    11 War Bond 8 20
    3 Bealestreet Dancer 12 20 SCRATCHED
    4 Powerful Instinct 15 20
    15 Unbridled Ocean 15 20
    12 Husband's Folly 20 20
    8 Our Cousin Dick 30 20
    5 To Your Health 50 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 7
    PRO PICKS: 8-5-13-3-4
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    8 Coal Front 5/2 3
    5 Patternrecognition 3 7/2
    13 Rectify 12 7/2 SCRATCHED
    3 Bombs Away 10 4
    4 So Noted 12 6
    11 Divine Interventio 6 8
    10 River Dell 20 10
    7 Blessed Halo 8 20 SCRATCHED
    9 Lenstar 15 20 SCRATCHED
    12 Curious Cal 15 20 SCRATCHED
    2 Mineralogy 20 20
    6 Bar None 20 20
    1 Skyler's Scramjet 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 8 - INTERCONTINENTAL (G3) $250,000
    PRO PICKS: 9-5-4-2-6
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    9 Take These Chains 5/2 2
    5 Mississippi Delta 7/2 3
    4 Fair Point 8 6
    2 Josdesanimaux 10 6
    10 Nobody's Fault 6 8 SCRATCHED
    6 Perfect Pic 20 8
    1 Lady Valeur 12 10
    7 Conquest Babayaga 8 20
    8 Portmagee 8 20
    3 Rapid Rhythm 20 20
    11 Outsider Art 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 9
    PRO PICKS: 12-2-11-16-8
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    12 Danny's Rush 8 4
    2 Noon Monsoon 30 4 SCRATCHED
    11 Uncle Tbone 7/2 5
    16 Jewel Can Disco 5/2 6 SCRATCHED
    8 Top Hat City 3 6
    9 Daring Destiny 12 6
    5 Uncle Chester 4 8
    10 Crawdaddy 12 8
    1 Speightful Kitten 8 10
    3 Money Laundering 20 10
    6 Charge Latouche 10 20
    13 Red Knight 12 20 SCRATCHED
    7 Summer Mischief 15 20 SCRATCHED
    4 Saratoga Colonel 20 20
    15 Legendary Humor 30 20 SCRATCHED
    14 Tiffany's Vision 50 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    Last edited by smartmoneyhorses; 06-08-2017, 04:04 PM. Reason: SCRATCHES UPDATED

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    Repost Thursday Belmont Park Experts

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