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BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR SATURDAY - 6/3/2017

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  • BELMONT PARK "EXPERT SELECTIONS" FOR SATURDAY - 6/3/2017

    This chart is in Expert Order which is the combined wisdom of several top professional handicappers. This gives us a great basis of comparison to the Morning Line, which is one person, usually the Track racing office. While most major tracks create a very good line, it is subject to the opinions and bias of one person rather that the collective wisdom of several crack pro's.

    I am giving you the entire field allowing you to follow the betting on all horses and see where the ML and the Expert's disagree. This is your advantage, your edge, having an objective way to evaluate the ML. You can see what is influencing the Public betting. Depending on the wagering platform you use, you can sort the field in Betting Odds Order so you can see which order is preferred by the betting public.

    The advantage in putting the chart in Expert Order is that it shows you horses that the Expert's like that receive little ML Support and horses the ML likes who are being ignored by the Expert's. It is important that you focus on the Top 3 Expert picks as well as the Morning Line top 3 choices as this is where most winners are found. Value Races are those races where the Top 3 Expert choices are not the same as the Top 3 Morning Line Picks.

    For those who are Exotic players (Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta) and Multi-Race players (DD, Pk-3, 4, 5, 6), the Pro picks are critical to achieving big payouts because the Experts combine longshots with ML favorites. Boxing Pro picks will get you bigger payoffs especially if the top favorites don't win. Keying on 1 or 2 horses on Top with the other contenders underneath will make bets more affordable. If you have a firm opinion, using ALL underneath in one position can help you cash a monster ticket if a big longshot crashes the board. If you are playing Multi-Race bets you should pay close attention to the top 3 horses if you want to cash larger tickets. Don't disregard highly thought of Expert choices just because the Morning Line dismisses them.

    Examine the chart first before you monitor the actual betting. It will help you understand what is influencing the betting. It is just as important to pay attention to who is not getting bet as well as those taking money. Look for horses that bet below or at their Pro Odds. Give extra credit if they get bet below their ML odds as well, but horses do not need to reach their ML odds to be "Live". Stables are very careful not to tip their hands. "Smart Money" doesn't want to cause a stampede in the betting on their horse.

    Check back 30-60 minutes before the first race for Scratches to be updated. It will move up horses into the top 3 that were placed lower before scratches. I will also update the Pro Picks to remove scratched horses and add new contenders. While every effort is made to avoid mistakes, double check program numbers to make sure they are correct.

    Good Luck!







    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 1
    PRO PICKS: 3-5-6-7-4
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 My Uncle Al 9/5 7/5
    5 Correjon 3 7/2
    6 Happy Match 2 5
    7 Read My Lips 12 6
    4 Thirsty Actor 10 20
    2 Duettino 12 20
    1 Atlee 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 2
    PRO PICKS: 4-7-6-8-1
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    4 Presumptuous 6/5 5/2
    7 Violet Blue 5/2 3
    6 Double Cast 6 7/2
    8 Blenheim Palace 2 4
    1 Camisole 5 6
    5 Lemondrop Lollipop 8 20
    2 Juliastown 12 20
    3 Furtive Glance 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 3
    PRO PICKS: 3-6-4-2-7
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 All About Ashley 5/2 2
    6 Monster Mash 2 3
    4 Brewing 3 7/2
    2 Non Stop 12 6
    7 Marble Falls 8 10
    1 Lyrical Miracle 10 10
    5 Buckwellspent 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 4
    PRO PICKS: 11-1-4-3-5
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    11 Clutch Cargo 8 3
    1 Leaveematthegate 5/2 7/2
    4 Bourbon Empire 3 4
    3 Cerretalto 7/2 4
    5 H Man 5 6
    10 Casigordo 15 8
    2 Fulmer 5 10
    9 Blame the Thief 8 20
    7 Prophet's Cat 12 20
    6 Sandy Strikes 20 20
    8 Dearie 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 5
    PRO PICKS: 6-3-7-1-5
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    6 River Date 5/2 8/5
    3 Marriage Fever 3 7/2
    7 John's Island 7/2 6
    1 Pax in Terra 10 6
    5 Taoiseach 5 8
    4 Souper Knight 8 20
    2 Battery 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 6
    PRO PICKS: 5-4-2-3-6
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    5 Volatility Index 5/2 7/2
    4 Lido 4 7/2
    2 Church Social 7/2 6
    3 Truth 5 6
    6 Padoga 6 6
    1 Rimanisempreforte 20 6
    7 Shwaimsa 8 8
    8 Zuzanna 12 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 7
    PRO PICKS: 4-9-10-3-5
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    4 Fact Check 9/5 3/2
    9 Peculiar Sensation 7/2 7/2
    10 New York Song 12 4
    3 Papacho 8 8
    5 Lucky Town 8 8
    1 Yummy Bear 6 10
    8 Le Grand Warrior 10 20
    2 Cuckoo's Saloon 15 20
    7 Magic Holiday 20 20
    6 Kerry Boy 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 8
    PRO PICKS: 3-1-4-10-2
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    3 Summer of Joy 5 5/2
    1 Salori's Bank 7/2 3
    4 Gobi 3 6
    10 Audrique 4 6
    2 Christening 20 6
    7 Kissin Cassie 20 8
    6 Tainted Angel 8 20
    9 Shesmyheartandsoul 10 20
    8 On the Fringe 12 20
    5 Spirit Lets Hearit 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 9 - PENNINE RIDGE (G3) $200,000
    PRO PICKS: 7-9-6-2-3
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    7 Ticonderoga 6 2
    9 Good Samaritan 8/5 3
    6 Oscar Performance 4 7/2
    2 Bowies Hero 7/2 4
    3 Bonus Points 5/2 8
    4 Makarios 10 8
    8 Secretary At War 8 20
    5 Muggsamatic 20 20
    1 Prize Fight 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    BELMONT RACE 10
    PRO PICKS: 8-11-16-10-13
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    8 Starstruck Kitten 5/2 5/2
    11 Harlan's Hunch 7/2 5
    16 Won't Burn 2 6
    10 Prognostication 3 6
    13 Any Questions 7/2 6
    6 Knight Errant 8 6
    2 Pontastic 10 8
    5 Thayer Week 12 10
    14 Sutter's Mill 6 20
    9 Mister Hayes 12 20
    7 Junction 15 20
    1 Enasoit 20 20
    4 Nile Gold 30 20
    15 Lordcommandersnow 30 20
    3 Scatoga 50 20
    12 Ollysilverexpress 50 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    WOODBINE RACE 8 - CONNAUGHT CUP (G2) $175,000
    PRO PICKS: 5-6-4-1-7
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    5 Take the Stand 2 7/5
    6 Commute 10 4
    4 Calgary Cat 5/2 6
    1 Tower of Texas 9/2 6
    7 Glenville Gardens 6 8
    2 Dimension 12 8
    9 Great Wide Open 12 20
    3 Seffeara 20 20
    8 Hollywood Hideaway 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    MONMOUTH RACE 11 - EATONTOWN (G3) $100,000
    PRO PICKS: 13-3-8-12-5
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    13 Time and Motion 9/2 6/5
    3 Tin Type Gal 8 5/2
    8 Zipessa 5 4
    12 Light In Paris 6 8
    5 Cali Thirty Seven 8 10
    6 Grand Jete 6 20
    7 Money'soncharlotte 6 20
    9 Kyllachy Queen 12 20
    11 All in Fun 12 20
    2 Bishop's Pond 15 20
    4 Shaan 15 20
    10 Hip Hop N Jazz 15 20
    1 Quiet Kitten 30 20
    14 Tricky Escape (f) 30 20
    15 Pleasant Mine (f) 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    PENN NATIONAL RACE 6 - PENN OAKS $200,000
    PRO PICKS: 4-7-1-2-6
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    4 Party Boat 3 3/2
    7 Adorable Miss 2 5/2
    1 Noble Ready 5/2 6
    2 Dynatail 8 6
    6 Spanish Harlem 8 10
    3 Romantic Music 15 20
    5 Diadura 15 20
    8 Viva Vegas 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    PENN NATIONAL RACE 7 - PENN GOVERNOR'S CUP $200,000
    PRO PICKS: 2-4-7-1-5
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    2 Richard's Boy 2 2
    4 Take Cover 8 5/2
    7 Rainbow Heir 5/2 7/2
    1 Ready for Rye 5 8
    5 Heiko 15 8
    9 Bold Thunder 8 20
    3 Oak Bluffs 10 20
    6 Gold Man 15 20
    8 Awesome Ghost 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    PENN NATIONAL RACE 8 - MOUNTAINVIEW STAKES $200,000
    PRO PICKS: 5-1-2-4-3
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    5 Page McKenney 9/5 8/5
    1 Madefromlucky 2 5/2
    2 Virtual Machine 6 7/2
    4 Matt King Coal 7/2 6
    3 Discreet Lover 8 10
    6 Whatsthequestion 12 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
    PENN NATIONAL RACE 9 - PENN MILE (G2) $500,000
    PRO PICKS: 7-4-6-2-8
    PG # Horse ML Odds PRO Odds Betting Odds
    7 Big Score 5/2 5/2
    4 Cistron 6 5/2
    6 Holiday Stone 12 5
    2 Bronson 4 6
    8 Frostmourne 3 8
    1 Shiraz @ 8 10
    1A Bonus Points @
    1X Prize Fight @
    3 Time to Travel 8 20
    5 Mo Maverick 8 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** *************** *****************
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